The in-person retail sector is set to experience its largest decline in consumer spending since 2008. In an economic downturn—as in any period of financial strain—business survival is often contingent on remaining competitive; only a small percentile of firms make it through, so being in the upper echelon of competitiveness cannot be overstated.
This paper has three objectives: (1) explain the current retail market, (2) define phygitalization and its future form, (3) explore phygitalization’s outcomes.
The StageWhile digitalization has swept the broader retail market, the premium-goods segment remains in-person. The physical retail market for premium goods has outpaced its online counterpart's growth by 680%.
The premium market is unique because it faces competition on multiple fronts. There is both intermarket competition and intramarket competition. Customers can buy their flip-flops from Gucci or from Target (94% of premium shoppers are willing to shop at non-premium counterparts). Thus, in-store retailers must not only be “better than the rest” but also craft an experience that justifies the premium price tag.
Unfortunately, these brands have faced a pretty significant challenge recently.
Macroeconomic Trends: Global trends were already moving towards more conservative spending by consumers. The Chinese real-estate crisis nucleating the largest/fastest growing premium consumer population, combined with the global tariff regime means that consumers have rapidly opted out of buying high-quality goods.Personalization Demands: Newer and younger consumers value personalization more than their older counterparts (GenZ values a connection with the brand 30% more than millennials). As a result, their bar for purchasing premium goods has been further raised.
The result is the premium in-person consumer market dropping for the first time since 2008. Not by an insignificant amount either (by 12.5% or 50 million consumers). Since companies cannot do much about the first, they can only reach for improving the second.
First, it’s important to note that the primary mechanism by which customers form these “personalized relationships” with brands isn’t just a fever dream whenever they see a nice logo; it’s through building connections with sales associates. Yet this system is not perfect. Negative interactions with sales associates are perceived as deeply personal—not merely the result of a logistics error or an out-of-stock item, but as one human making another feel unwelcome—and customers then transpose that experience onto the entire brand. 51% of customers who left a premium brand did so due to a poor relationship with a sales associate.
The problems that arise when customers are entirely dependent on sales associates are fairly obvious. First, sales associates… leave. Workers don’t stay with brands forever, and when they do, years of established relationships with customers are wiped out, causing significant personalization drop-offs that can come as a shock to customers.
Second, sales associates are not the brand—they are human and subject to biases. Sometimes two individuals simply don’t get along; other times, these biases can manifest in harmful ways—for example, there are rampant complaints of caste-based discrimination in India. Finally, 35% of premium shopping is done by international tourists, who expect the same level of service from multinational brands abroad as they do at home; however, obviously, Stavros in Greece will not have the same relationship with a brand as Françoise in Paris.
The Phygitalization SolutionPhygitalization (in essence) is the act of combining digital and physical experiences to increase consumer immersion. Phygitialization in practice is the attempt to uplift the relationship customers have with individual sales associates into a true relationship with the brand. There are two types of phygitialization strategies that companies can pursue:
The potential issue with both approaches is that they aim for optimization rather than personalization . However, 81% of consumers indicate that what they enjoy the most about in-person shopping is the uniquely human experience of interacting with a sales associate, in which case perfect can be the enemy of the good.
Another critical challenge is capacity: sales associates aren’t actors. While a few may seamlessly integrate vast streams of data into their customer interactions, most will struggle—resulting in a scripted “uncanny valley” that feels stiff and impersonal. Although a new, tech-savvy generation of associates is emerging (for example, some Kering brands even coach staff on how to hold an iPad and adopt a natural typing posture), the transition will be exceptionally difficult for the vast majority of established retailers.
The Phygitalization ApproachUnfortunately, the ability to develop and integrate phygitalization is incredibly resource dependent, consolidating the premium shopping market back to large and established brands. In the last decade, small-store growth in the premium sector has outperformed large brands by a factor of 600%, as the increased capacity for personalization these stores can provide given the lower number of customers that they have. This has created a highly dynamic and competitive market on the local end (for example, the two luxury conglomerates LVMH and the Kering group only control around 35% of the market, despite owning the vast majority of multinational luxury between them).
However, the capacity to implement phygitalization technology is highly limited, as it requires [1] the creation and investment into large back-office teams, and [2] large amounts of digital data to actively develop predictive models. Even then, large brands like Kering have created exclusive partnership with major companies like Apple to advance its technological development. This then needs to be slowly tested across existing customer groups to make sure it is ready for global deployment. Retailers aren’t traditional technology companies, yet the industry is rapidly becoming tech-driven. Because phygitalization requires building new digital capabilities from the ground up, large retailers—with their deeper pockets and established tech partnerships—can roll out these solutions far more easily than smaller competitors. As a result, even though digital transformation has been consensus described as a “strategic imperative” for in-person retailers to stay profitable, but the “vast majority” of companies will be unable to make the transition. Smaller retailers have two options:
Projections show that only the largest retailers will be able to deploy phygitalization technologies—and since personalization has become the ultimate in-store differentiator, this advantage will only deepen their market dominance.
Part IV: Advanced PhygitalizationOn the top level, there are two additional phygitalization use cases:
With the luxury market shedding 110 million consumers this year—the steepest contraction in its history—the fight has shifted from growth to survival. Even before the downturn, analysts foresaw just 1 percent expansion over the next three years.
Now, 43 percent of premium shoppers are already hunting for new brands. Stores need to both compete amongs each other, but also compete to keep the customers they already have from exiting the market as a whole. In this high‐stakes environment, phygitalization is a make-or-break lifeline. Retailers who act swiftly to blend digital intelligence with in-store experiences will secure loyalty and market share; those who hesitate risk permanent obsolescence.